Various Applications of Bayesian Probabilities Analysis

 

Various Applications of Bayesian Probabilities Analysis

—  Unity of Wisdom from the East and the West

贝叶斯概率分析的多种运用

—  融合东西方文化智慧

Bayesian Approach on probabilities analysis can be used in various circumstances that involve constant changes of digit distributions or trend oscillations, such as bridge game or the trend of society evolution.

贝叶斯概率分析可运用于涉及数字分布或趋势变化的组合概率演变，比如桥牌或社会演变趋势变动等。

In this peculiar book, people will find in-depth exploration of skills on Bridge. In fact, Bayesian Approach can be used to analyze the trend of change on other issues, based on the comparison of many subtle differences on the various aspects of a model constructure. 

在这本奇特的书中，您将深入了解桥牌概率分析的技能。实际上，基于对模型演变各个方面的许多细微差异的比较，贝叶斯方法也可用于分析其它问题的变化趋势。

For example, New Study By Dr. Steven Quay Concludes that SARS-CoV-2 Came from a Laboratory

例如，史蒂文·奎伊（Steven Quay）博士的基于贝叶斯概率分析的最新研究结论认为，新冠病毒（SARS-CoV-2）来自实验室。

https://www.biospace.com/article/releases/new-study-by-dr-steven-quay-concludes-that-sars-cov-2-came-from-a-laboratory/

On the aspect of society evolution, there're many peculiar features of Burma's situation, which are very different from that in Hong Kong, Russia or Belarus. One special feature is there're armed forces like Kachin Independence Organization in Myanmar. In areas with ethnic armed forces, the Tatmadaw regime dare not send either secret police or military troops to do massive massacre, but massacres do occur in other areas without ethnic armed forces.

在社会演变方面，缅甸的状况有许多独特的地方，与香港、俄罗斯或白俄罗斯的特点截然不同。其中一个特色就是缅甸有类似克钦邦独立组织（Kachin Independence Organisation）那样的民间组织存在。在有少数民族武装的地区，缅甸国防军（塔达玛政权）不敢派便衣警察或军队进行大规模屠杀，但在没有少数民族武装的其它地区确实发生了公开的屠杀。

Before 1949, some areas in Northern China were under rule by Xi Jin Ping's father Xi Zhong Xun, like Shannxi province. At that time, Big Famine could never occur, since many militia organizations kept guns by themselves, which made it possible for them to defend justice timely. That is why many people cherish the glorious Constitutional Democracy pursued by Xi Zhong Xun.  It's also due to the Gun Rights system that keeps the vitality of American constitution.

1949年以前，中国北方的某些地区处于习近平父亲的习仲勋的领导管辖之下，比如陕西省的一些地区。那时，大饥荒永远不会发生，因为许多民兵组织自己持有枪支，这让他们可以及时地捍卫正义。这就是为什么许多人珍惜习仲勋所追求的、光辉的宪政民主。这也是持枪权赋予美国宪法持久生命力的根本原因。

Besides society evolution, Bayesian Approach can be used on financial market evolution as well.

除了社会演变外，贝叶斯方法也可以用于金融市场的演变分析。

The legendary man Dr. Ed Thorps, an MIT graduate fellow who is not only a professional researcher on the game of Blackjack, but a philosophical investor for all markets, including sophisticated hedge fund operation.

传奇人物埃迪·索普(Ed Thorps)博士毕业于麻省理工学院，他不仅是二十一点游戏的专家，而且对于所有投资领域的研究都达到了哲理运作的级别，包括高超的对冲基金运作。

https://philosophicalinvestor.com/man-for-all-markets-thorp/

In 2021, huge fluctuations have occurred in Chinese financial markets, which harmed many people's interests. For people who're interested in financial markets, it's suggested that they make efforts carefully studying some skills of probabilities analysis before they take the risks of any financial journey.

2021年，中国金融市场发生了巨大的动荡，损害了许多人的利益。对于那些对金融市场感兴趣的人们，建议他们在开启金融冒险征程之前，努力学习一些概率分析技巧。

As a legendary world master of Bridge game, Dr. Robert Lee happens to be an alumnus of Dr. Ed Thorps. In the peculiar book "Beat Your Opponents", you'll find many interesting stories and examples of Bayesian Approach analysis on very concrete evolution of bridge games.

To learn those skills well will certainly help improve people's understanding of both the Bridge game and many other issues of the world!

作为传奇的世界桥牌大师，罗伯特·李博士（Robert Lee）恰好是埃德·索普（Ed Thorps）博士的校友。在这本奇特的《桥牌赢家》一书中，您会看到许多经典的分析 — 贝叶斯概率分析方法运用于桥牌局面演变的具体推演。

深入地学习这些技能不只是有助于提高对桥牌演变的理解，也将提高对自己、对于这个世界的深刻理解。